Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 2085.720541 2273.207750 2464.660932 2674.499265 2897.729687 3127.823661 3382.626636
2024-10-27 1710.531576 1977.775958 2262.674644 2587.878161 2947.661258 3332.388699 3773.737762
2024-11-03 1572.215506 1896.315567 2252.493296 2670.641910 3145.693131 3666.230209 4277.281553
2024-11-10 1451.832195 1815.527261 2225.644170 2718.516643 3290.782761 3930.341573 4695.034009
2024-11-17 1326.824761 1715.564710 2164.397035 2715.330384 3367.554383 4109.264564 5010.418088
2024-11-24 1206.805974 1610.744727 2087.631859 2684.648277 3404.169379 4235.466811 5260.156785
2024-12-01 1132.382873 1554.805847 2063.441225 2711.263968 3504.172796 4432.763317 5591.502594
2024-12-08 1053.887167 1487.775054 2020.344013 2710.000610 3566.648969 4582.835298 5865.562331
2024-12-15 1008.366087 1459.077287 2021.754959 2761.047154 3691.151030 4806.699561 6228.754007
2024-12-22 936.678542 1391.649946 1969.989637 2741.567347 3725.330484 4918.802518 6455.674275
2024-12-29 905.742034 1375.952757 1982.754962 2802.629067 3859.502039 5153.691813 6834.014392
2025-01-05 859.122757 1336.118102 1961.501055 2817.691219 3933.950795 5314.013863 7120.921220
2025-01-12 811.072132 1292.624786 1934.429141 2825.078034 3999.748564 5466.179196 7402.454975
2025-01-19 730.704213 1199.420181 1836.523360 2734.967047 3936.127901 5452.716007 7474.964791
2025-01-26 718.835503 1203.328405 1870.494398 2821.289090 4103.721479 5734.823480 7923.529506
2025-02-02 695.562010 1189.093450 1878.182016 2871.210661 4223.103444 5955.766080 8296.071557
2025-02-09 656.637824 1149.443760 1848.277974 2867.888446 4270.276145 6082.833612 8548.695965
2025-02-16 611.608888 1098.049558 1799.317394 2835.895189 4276.986749 6155.918735 8731.136640
2025-02-23 587.573073 1077.531384 1793.647612 2863.648463 4364.375289 6335.095617 9052.499019
2025-03-02 556.732256 1044.657904 1768.413173 2862.331167 4410.998732 6460.054955 9303.471282
2025-03-09 542.927528 1038.085357 1781.465959 2915.552305 4533.201585 6686.488388 9689.724531
2025-03-16 510.293180 999.294037 1744.699084 2895.243797 4551.846683 6773.593359 9891.818857
2025-03-23 501.294809 998.797400 1765.520681 2958.898523 4688.677282 7020.914438 10308.730759